Monday, November 17, 2014

Lorillard and Reynolds Merger Offers Investors Extreme Value

The merger, if it goes through, between Lorillard (LO) and Reynolds American (RAI) offers investors great value.

For shareholders of Lorillard, they are set to receive $68.88 in the buyout.  $50.50 of it is in cash and the rest is made up of approximately .29 shares of RAI for every share of LO.  In this scenario, you are essentially getting .29 shares of RAI for $18.38.  That equates to a price per share of $63.37 for Reynolds, and that is still under its current share price of $64.66 as of 11/17/2014.

Also, while that is not an extreme value anymore, you are getting $68.88 in value for LO shares, which trade today at $61.98 per share.  That still is about $7 upside from here, and that is about a 10% return which could happen in short order.  That is in addition to the dividend that LO pays.

All in all, I recommend LO here.

Disclosure, I am long LO and RAI.

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